Description
This is our third model on the corona crisis (COVID-19). It explores the possible post corona world. Together with the other two models it is featured in our corresponding paper:
https://www.consideo.com/papers-33.html
(available in German as well)
The first model was our simulation model that somehow seems to be the most advanced model on the development of infections with dynamic parameters:
https://www.know-why.net/model/CHFWUVddNJsog2quA15x0PQ According to this there won't be enough intensive care capacities to prevent deaths unless we wait for more than 700 days, find a cure/vaccine or shift to a strategy to isolate just high risk parts of the population.
The second model is a qualitative cause and effect model that explores the possible strategies showing that the current strategy to first learn (e.g. that healthy people can also face severe symptoms if their infection ran deep) and later shift towards isolating just parts of the populations seems to be correct. It also suggests to invest into international aid as well:
https://www.know-why.net/model/CEXPi9s5zeEtEwHpUBslo3w
This model, now, looks at society, the economy and the environment using welfare and happiness as an overall target. It suggests that Corona is of course a bad thing short term but it could also become a good thing long term depending on the right course of politics and some questionable effects like the "Thanos - Effect". So let the discussion begin and build your alternative models!
Short term should be this year
Medium term next year
Long term beyond next year
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