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Beschreibung

Qualitative cause and effect model on the SDGs

This is a model that we (...) use for a paper yet to be published. Please copy (on know-why.net you find the link to insert it into your account) it into your free account of iMODELER in order to enhance it and weight the connections to fit a concrete region or nation. You may also consider two concrete countries, e.g. a developed country and a developing country.

Background:

The UN’s Sustainable Development Goals in their
generalized form need to be further reflected in order to identify synergies
and trade-offs between their (sub-)targets, and to apply them to concrete
nations and regions. Explorative, qualitative cause and effect modeling could
serve as a tool to add crucial factors and get a better understanding of the
interrelations between the goals to come up with concrete measures and to cope
with their obstacles. This model could serve
as a template for a concrete application. The generalized model already points
at some potential ambivalences as well as synergies that could be related to
some latest theories and concepts from economics, transition research etc.. Its
first analyses cautiously raise doubts that some possible assumptions behind
the original sustainable development goals might overlook some systemic
boundaries. For example an undifferentiated increase of productivity combined
with planetary boundaries and the only myth of decoupling of growth from
environmental impact and need for resources might be the wrong way. 

Time horizon:

short term: within 3 years
medium term: within 3 to 10 years
long term: beyond 10 years

Source: 

https://sustainabledevelopment.un.org/?menu=1300
 as well as  https://unstats.un.org/sdgs/indicators/Official%20Revised%20List%20of%20global%20SDG%20indicators.pd... 

Application:


After you have inserted the model to your free iMODELER account you should continue to use the 4 Know-Why Questions (what leads directly to more/less of a factor present/in the future?) in order to exploratively add hard and soft factors that help to explore what could serve as an effective lever to improve the situation in the world or for a concrete region.
You may also share your model collaboratively (only with a full version of iMODELER) to work with others on the same model.

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Ihre Meinung:

Kommentare (3)

Kai Neumann

Kai Neumann

Here is the link to an application of the model and a paper: http://www.economics-ejournal.org/economics/discussionpapers/2017-82 .... that is currently reviewed and discussed. Please join the discussion
Kai Neumann

Kai Neumann antwortet miroslav.havranek@c*

Hi Miroslav
I have the impression that there was little systems thinking behind the SDGs, however, they are en vogue so we should add systems thinking to it. I know two modeling approaches to the SDGs, one is a Kumu model (of little use) and another an adoption of the quantitative T21 model from the Millenium Institute (a sophisticated black box). So the unique selling point of this model should be the easy application to explore concrete measures and obstacles.
The deadline for the mentioned paper is end of September, so it will take a while until we will publish it :-(
Happy modeling
Kai
miroslav.havranek@c*

miroslav.havranek@c*

Hi Kai, this is exactly what I was looking for, great work! I was following preparation of SDGs and by my sources some SD modelling was part of the background while SDGs were formulated.

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