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Description

Just a small qualitative model to keep track with the developments and to discuss the likelihood of a true change vs. a powerful lobbying.


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Comments (8)

Kai Neumann

Kai Neumann

Here is an excellent German tv documentary on the lobbying of the auto industry against e-mobility:
https://youtu.be/XQelhFzK3Po
Emma

Emma

Kai, couldn't you get the linkedin group to edit the model right here?
Kai Neumann

Kai Neumann

I am editing the model for Ruediger who is discussing this model in the LinkedIn group "Systems Thinking World". Unfortunately you can only view the discussion there if you are a member of the group. However, feel free to edit to model and add to or correct Ruediger's and other's view, unless you want to correct my views ;-)
Emma

Emma

I have lowered the impact from the "20 percent stake of Lower Saxony" because the major fines will probably come from the US.
Kai Neumann

Kai Neumann replies Dirk Schink

Great, Dirk! BTW: from modeling tipping points and transition we know that it takes approximately three catastrophes to change something (like it takes three marketing messages to get a customer's interest). So, what could add to it so we rethink our mobility. A new study that confirms that about 11 million people die each year prematurely because of car emissions? (we do not care about deaths, but we should care about people who could otherwise be customers of our exported products ;-)
Or a study that proofs that without more refugees we will never be able to maintain all the additional roads we are building?
Hmm, I am afraid even those additional news won't keep us from driving fast and comfortable status symbols. Parallel, we need to focus on alternatives that provide the same great feeling of integrated development (known from KNOW-WHY-Thinking).
Dirk Schink

Dirk Schink

I have justified impact of fines and lawsuits on longterm. Added "human forgetfulness" wich lowers to rejection of buyers.
Agree with you Kai - strange but human - that dirty cars won't hinder, but increase satisfaction. The personally felt consequences of dirty cars and air pollution is too low to kick off rethinking.
Kai Neumann

Kai Neumann replies Kai Neumann

Having said what I said I have added also a negative impact of "all cars are dirty" to the satisfaction of customers and it still remains a positive factor.
Would you agree with this direct connection, Emma?
Kai Neumann

Kai Neumann

It is psychologically interesting that "all cars are dirty" seems to satisfy the car drivers in any way, whether it leads to a transition towards e-mobility or even more effective leads to some form of resignation - or better put: not bothering and not questioning their fun of driving cheap and fast cars.

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