Here you have a model showing a snapshot of U.S. military's plan for "
Afghanistan Stability / COIN Dynamics"
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Expactations for Security, Services & Employment Recognition/ Engagement to Integrate Tribal Structures & Beliefs Transparency of Gov't Processes & Investments Coalition Appropriate Balance of Effort & Force Coalition Execution Capacity & Priorities Coalition Avg COIN Experience & Skill Duration of Operation Coalition Knowledge & Understanding of Social Structures US Domestic Perceived Cost/Benefit & Support Coalition Adjustment of Approach to Fit Afghan Coalition Dev. Ops- ANSF Advisory & Aid ANSF Funding Adequacy ANSF Institutional & Execution Capacity ANSF Manpower Recruiting & Retention ANSF & Coalition Damages/Casualties ANSF Unit Leadership & Tactical Capacity ANSF Capacity, Priorities & Effectiveness ANSF Avg. Professionalism Skill, Discipline & Morale Gov't Security Policy Quality & Investment ANSF Corruption & Tribal Favoritism R.O.L. Policy, Execution & Perceived Fairness ANSF Training & Mentoring Total Security Force Capacity & Focus ISR/Open Source Ops Policing & Security Ops (Hold) Sweep Ops (Clear) Targeted Strikes ANSF Appropriate Use of Force Ins. Damages & Casualties Territory Not Under Gov't Control (Afghan & Pakistan) Fear of Gov't/ANSF/Coalition Repercussions Perceived Damages/Use of Force by Gov't & Coalition Ins. Offensives & Presence (Clear & Hold) Perceived Damages & Use of Force by Ins. Insurgent Capacity, Priorities & Effectiveness Ins. Provision Of Gov't & Services Perception of Insurent Strength & Intent Coordination Among Ins. Factions Havens / Ability to Operate Insurgent Terrain Advantage Ins. Leadership, Training, Skill & Experience Outside Support/Enablement of Ins. Ties to Narcotics & Other Criminal Funding Funding & Material Support to Insurgents Insurgent Recruiting, Retention, Manpower & ISR Criminal/Trafficking Capability & Coercion Counter Narcotics/Crime Ops Narcotics & Criminal Activity Levels Likelihood of Crime/Violence/Ins. Support for Payment Illegit Agric Production, Trade & Employment Fraction of Workforce And Agric. Legit vs Illegit Legit Agric Production Population Basic Needs Service Levels & Employment Private Sector Workforce Skill & Avail Infrastructure Dev. Adequacy & Sustainment Ins. Targeted Attacks on Progress/Support for Gov't Legit Other Production & Services Non-Agric Civilian Services (SWET, Healthcare, Education) Legit vs Illegit Relative Economic Opportunity Relative Popular Support/Tolerance Gov't vs Insurgents Private Sector Capital Mgmt., Investment & Spending Legit Economic Activity Trade & Employment Ability to Move People & Goods Rapidly Perceived Security Fear of Ins. Attack/Repercussions Visible Gains In Security, Services & Employment Satisfaction w/ Gains in Security, Services & Employment Perception Of Gov't Strength & Intent Infr, Services, Econ. Policy & Execution / Perceived Fairness Resource Levels (Mil. & Civ. Forces, Aid Levels) Coalition Visibility to Population Western Affiliation Backlash Relative Message Quality Gov't vs Ins. Gov't /ANSF Strategic Commun/IO Ins. Strategic Commun/IO & Affiliation w/ Population Coalition Strategic Commun./IO ANSF Capacity & Priorites Breadth of Coalition & Support US Gov't Support for Operation US Domestic/Int'l Strategic Commun. & Diplomacy Media Sensationalism Bias Provide Humanitarian Relief Gov't/Contractor Corruption & Tribal Favoritism Tax Revenues Gov't Funding Adequacy Coalition Dev. Ops-Gov't Advisory & Aid Gov't Training Mentoring, Vetting and Hiring Coalition Dev. Ops- Infrastructure, Services, Econ. Advisory & Aid Overall Gov't Reach, Execution Capacity & Investment Gov't Professionalism Policy Quality & Fairness Ethnic/Tribal Rivalry Ability to Reconcile Religious Ideology, Tribal Structures w/ Gov't Path Gov't Workforce Skill & Avail Central Gov't Institutional & Execution Capacity Gov't Integration of Local Tribal Structures Coalition/Homeland Acceptance of Afghan Methods Strength of Religious Ideology & Tribal Structures Cultural Erosion/Displacement Average Connectedness of Population Relative Message Impact Gov't vs Ins Relative WOM Message Amplification Gov't vs Ins Perception of Coalition Intent & Commitment Potential Attractiveness of Gov't vs Insurgent Path Neutral/On the Fence Population Sympathizing w/ Gov't Population Sympathizing w/ Insurgents Population Actively Supporting Insurgency Population Actively Supporting Gov't & SF