Next crash inevitable? - KNOW-WHY.NET

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Schnellansicht des Modells (öffne Gesamtmodell mit iMODELER):

Kai Neumann (#1) hat eine Beschreibung des Modells im iMODELER Presenter erstellt.

Beschreibung

a qualitative model including the arguments from an article from Handelsblatt ( https://www.handelsblatt.com/finanzen/anlagestrategie/trends/die-naechste-rezession-abschwung-oder-crash-warten-auf-den-grossen-knall/23589494.html?ticket=ST-2259849-76TcgloNt9xQvTFcp2kS-ap6) and some more

feel free to edit the model via its collaborative link

270 Nutzungen, 1486 Aufrufe

Jobs

Tax income

Diesel scandal VW, Mercedes, BMW, Audi

BREXIT, trade war Trump US and China

Demographic pressure on social security systems

Renewable energy moon shot project

Money creation

Crash

Stock markets go down

Shrinking demand from consumers

Low demand for investments

Government spending

Low interests

People invest in stocks

Debts

People invest into real estate

People invest in gold etc.

Heating up of real estate prices

People have money

Fed and ECB increase interests

Rise of prices of luxury goods

Government‘s debts

Ihre Meinung:

Kommentare (2)

Kai Neumann

Just read in Handelsblatt about some figures from Germany. 6.000 billion of money in private households compared to 1.700 billion of debts of private households. On the other hand globally the debt rate (according to latest Word Economic Forum Risk Report) is 220 percent of the global GDP. So, what happens with the debts and the available money even without considering that there is a decoupled financial industry with mere virtual money? Will in case of a crisis to people with money own everything from people running out of money, or will both, money and debts be reevaluated? IMHO this thought is phase 2 coming after a series of chain reactions in a phase 1. What would you say?

Antworten

Kai Neumann

Jobs were missing - thanks for the hint

Antworten