Being successful through a new culture of reflexion

Kai Neumann

Modell aus Perspektive des Faktors Successful action

PI

26 factors and 44 connections that form 15 feedback loops. The model answers the question what it does take to act successfully.

Modell aus Perspektive des Faktors Successful action

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There are reoccurring situations and there are new, complicated or complex situation. The weighting could be adapted to fit a concrete organization, individual, company, department .....

Modell aus Perspektive des Faktors Mastering new, complicated, or complex situations

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To overcome our mental boundaries we need tools. There can be qualitative or quantitative modeling.

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The Insight Matrix shows how tool based reflexions help even more than best practice alone. Whether in long run best practice, gut feeling or modeling is most important depends on the proportion of reoccurring challenges compared to new challenges.

Simulationsergebnisse von Faktor Quantitiativ: Wie wird es sich wahrscheinlich entwickeln?

PI

This illustration just shows what is meant when we model quantitatively and look at scenarios.

Simulationsergebnisse von Faktor Quantitiativ: Wie wird es sich wahrscheinlich entwickeln?

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This is a spaghetti plot of a monte carlo simulation. It shows the range of possible developments.

Simulationsergebnisse von Faktor Quantitiativ: Wie wird es sich wahrscheinlich entwickeln?

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A histogram, then, shows the likelihoods of different outcomes.

Modell aus Perspektive des Faktors Tool-based Reflexion of Interconnections

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A fool with a tool is still a fool. Facing complex challenges without a tool we are all fools.
Note: It is nonsense to argue that complex challenges cannot be fully grasped and thus shouldn't be modeled at all. When we have to decide something the worst model is better than no model.

Modell aus Perspektive des Faktors iMODELER

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This screenshots shows the crucial features of the iMODELER.